市场分析
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Derivatives 2026/07/15: A technical rebound?
Although a reversal signal has appeared, risks remain. Traders should therefore wait for further trend-confirmation signals before they reopen their positions.2026年7月15日
Market commentary 2026/07/15: Afternoon demand emerged
The market posted a modest gain as bargain hunting emerged toward the end of the session. However, trading liquidity weakened, while the VNIndex remained below most of its key moving averages, suggesting that the current recovery has yet to gain convincing technical confirmation.2026年7月15日
Derivatives 2026/07/14: A downtrend?
The downtrend has been confirmed on rising volume. Investors may therefore consider reopening short positions.2026年7月14日
Market commentary 2026/07/14: Broad-based selling pressure
The market recorded a sharp decline alongside a significant increase in trading liquidity, indicating that selling pressure continued to outweigh buying demand while cautious investor sentiment remained dominant. This suggests that the short-term outlook remains tilted to the downside.2026年7月14日
Covered warrant 2026/07/14: Cash flows continued to decline
During the week, the covered warrant market remained weak as liquidity continued to decline and the number of declining warrants still significantly outnumbered advancing ones. Meanwhile, the underlying equity market also showed cautious trading conditions, with the benchmark index falling and capital flows showing no clear signs of improvement.2026年7月14日
Market Trader 2026/07/14: Foreign investors extended their net selling streak
By investor group, trading activity by domestic retail investors declined by 5.5% WoW. Meanwhile, domestic institutional investors turned more active, with trading value increasing 5.9% from the previous week.2026年7月14日
June 2026: The real estate sector emerged as the leading issuer.
In June, total value of bond issuance declined 9.03% yoy but increased 119.97% mom to VND112,333bn (Fig. 1). The Banking issued VND48,069bn, 53% mom, and accounted for 42.8%. Major issuer was Techcombank (VND9,000bn, Table 1) and Sacombank (VND8,800bn). The Real Estates issued VND53,515 with +260% yoy, +272% mom and accounting for 47.6%, held the first rank of total issuance (Fig. 2). VHM was the main issuer with VND21,000bn and Hung Phat Invest (VND9,300bn). The average coupon rate still remained 5.3% in Jun 2026 (Fig. 3). The Real Estate coupon rate dropped to 11.2%, while the banking coupon rate slightly edged up to 8.6%. Bond tenors were focus on ≤ 3 Years (72.32%). Notably, bond tenor of over 10 years re-arranged after being absent in Dec 2025 (2.37%) (Fig 4).2026年7月13日
Derivatives 2026/07/13: Selling pressure intensifies
Investors should continue to monitor the market for clearer confirmation of the short-term trend, and consider reopening positions only when a safe reversal signal appears.2026年7月13日
Chart of the day 2026/07/13: A sell signal?
Additional signals should be observed to confirm the next trend, as liquidity remains low. Until then, investors should keep their equity exposure at a safe level.2026年7月13日
Market commentary 2026/07/13: Stepped back
The market continued to retreat while liquidity remained subdued, indicating that capital inflows are still cautious and buying demand has yet to gain sufficient strength to improve the market trend. In addition, the VNIndex closed below most of its key moving averages, suggesting that the technical outlook remains weak and increasing the risk of further short-term corrections.2026年7月13日
![Steel - In-depth - [LESS POSITIVE] - Challenges](/_next/image?url=https%3A%2F%2Fdms2stj3pztto.cloudfront.net%2Fwt1baa1h%2Fsteel-2.jpg%3Fformat%3Dwebp%26height%3D608%26mode%3Dcrop%26quality%3D80%26width%3D1080&w=3840&q=75)
Steel - In-depth - [LESS POSITIVE] - Challenges
Overall sector: For 2H2026F, we forecast total steel sales volume in Vietnam to grow by -3.3% yoy. Domestic market: Forecasted at -5.6% yoy. We anticipate that rising interest rates will dampen demand in the residential construction sector, which typically accounts for 60-70% of domestic steel consumption. Exports: In 2H2026F, we project total steel exports from Vietnam to achieve growth of +1.0-2.0% yoy.2026年7月13日
Derivatives 2026/07/10: Accumulation
Positive signals have emerged, as capital flow continues to provide support at lower price levels; however, these signals lack consistency. Traders should therefore remain cautious and wait for further confirmation before opening new positions.2026年7月10日
Market commentary 2026/07/10: Lost the MA20
The market retreated while liquidity remained subdued, indicating that capital inflows have yet to show meaningful improvement. In addition, the VNIndex closed below its 20-day moving average (MA20), suggesting that short-term momentum is weakening and the market may need more time to regain balance.2026年7月10日
27W26: SBV maintains net injection while diverging interbank rates
In 27W26, the SBV continued its net liquidity injection to ease surging pressures in the overnight segment, driven by short-term swap maturities during the week. Concurrently, interbank rates diverged as a spike in immediate cash demand pushed overnight rates sharply higher. In the FX market, the interbank USDVND rate remained virtually unchanged, staying resilient against persistent foreign net selling as a softer global greenback helped alleviate broader depreciation pressures.2026年7月9日
Market commentary 2026/07/09: Continued gains
The market posted its second consecutive gaining session, accompanied by a modest improvement in liquidity. The index continued to hold above its 20-day moving average (MA20), indicating that this level remains an effective short-term support. However, the VNIndex has yet to close above both the 10-day (MA10) and 50-day (MA50) moving averages, suggesting that buying momentum is still not strong enough to confirm a meaningful improvement in the short-term trend.2026年7月9日
Derivatives 2026/07/09: Has Capital Flow Returned?
Positive signals have emerged, as capital flow continues to provide support at lower price levels; however, these signals lack consistency. Traders should therefore remain cautious and wait for further confirmation before opening new positions.2026年7月9日
ETF review: MCH and TCX added to the VN30Index
In the 3Q26 review of the VN30Index, we expect PLX and TPB to be removed from the index's constituent list, as their market capitalization no longer ranks among the 30 eligible stocks. In their place, MCH and TCX will be added.2026年7月9日
Market commentary 2026/07/08: Market recovery
The market rebounded in the latest session, although liquidity declined noticeably, suggesting that cash flow has yet to fully support the current upward momentum. This indicates that the ongoing recovery still requires further confirmation in the coming sessions.2026年7月8日
Derivatives 2026/07/08: Capital support at lower price levels
Positive signals have emerged as capital continued to provide support at lower price levels; however, these signals remain inconsistent. Traders should therefore stay cautious and wait for further confirmation before opening new positions.2026年7月8日
Market commentary 2026/07/07: Market reversal
The market posted a sharp decline accompanied by higher trading liquidity. In addition, the VNIndex fell below both the 10-day and 50-day moving averages, signaling a deterioration in short-term technical momentum. This suggests that market volatility and downside pressure may persist in the coming sessions.2026年7月7日
精选优惠
Derivatives 2026/07/15: A technical rebound?
Although a reversal signal has appeared, risks remain. Traders should therefore wait for further trend-confirmation signals before they reopen their positions.2026年7月15日
Market commentary 2026/07/15: Afternoon demand emerged
The market posted a modest gain as bargain hunting emerged toward the end of the session. However, trading liquidity weakened, while the VNIndex remained below most of its key moving averages, suggesting that the current recovery has yet to gain convincing technical confirmation.2026年7月15日
Derivatives 2026/07/14: A downtrend?
The downtrend has been confirmed on rising volume. Investors may therefore consider reopening short positions.2026年7月14日
Market commentary 2026/07/14: Broad-based selling pressure
The market recorded a sharp decline alongside a significant increase in trading liquidity, indicating that selling pressure continued to outweigh buying demand while cautious investor sentiment remained dominant. This suggests that the short-term outlook remains tilted to the downside.2026年7月14日
Covered warrant 2026/07/14: Cash flows continued to decline
During the week, the covered warrant market remained weak as liquidity continued to decline and the number of declining warrants still significantly outnumbered advancing ones. Meanwhile, the underlying equity market also showed cautious trading conditions, with the benchmark index falling and capital flows showing no clear signs of improvement.2026年7月14日
Market Trader 2026/07/14: Foreign investors extended their net selling streak
By investor group, trading activity by domestic retail investors declined by 5.5% WoW. Meanwhile, domestic institutional investors turned more active, with trading value increasing 5.9% from the previous week.2026年7月14日
June 2026: The real estate sector emerged as the leading issuer.
In June, total value of bond issuance declined 9.03% yoy but increased 119.97% mom to VND112,333bn (Fig. 1). The Banking issued VND48,069bn, 53% mom, and accounted for 42.8%. Major issuer was Techcombank (VND9,000bn, Table 1) and Sacombank (VND8,800bn). The Real Estates issued VND53,515 with +260% yoy, +272% mom and accounting for 47.6%, held the first rank of total issuance (Fig. 2). VHM was the main issuer with VND21,000bn and Hung Phat Invest (VND9,300bn). The average coupon rate still remained 5.3% in Jun 2026 (Fig. 3). The Real Estate coupon rate dropped to 11.2%, while the banking coupon rate slightly edged up to 8.6%. Bond tenors were focus on ≤ 3 Years (72.32%). Notably, bond tenor of over 10 years re-arranged after being absent in Dec 2025 (2.37%) (Fig 4).2026年7月13日
Derivatives 2026/07/13: Selling pressure intensifies
Investors should continue to monitor the market for clearer confirmation of the short-term trend, and consider reopening positions only when a safe reversal signal appears.2026年7月13日
Chart of the day 2026/07/13: A sell signal?
Additional signals should be observed to confirm the next trend, as liquidity remains low. Until then, investors should keep their equity exposure at a safe level.2026年7月13日
Market commentary 2026/07/13: Stepped back
The market continued to retreat while liquidity remained subdued, indicating that capital inflows are still cautious and buying demand has yet to gain sufficient strength to improve the market trend. In addition, the VNIndex closed below most of its key moving averages, suggesting that the technical outlook remains weak and increasing the risk of further short-term corrections.2026年7月13日
Steel - In-depth - [LESS POSITIVE] - Challenges
Overall sector: For 2H2026F, we forecast total steel sales volume in Vietnam to grow by -3.3% yoy. Domestic market: Forecasted at -5.6% yoy. We anticipate that rising interest rates will dampen demand in the residential construction sector, which typically accounts for 60-70% of domestic steel consumption. Exports: In 2H2026F, we project total steel exports from Vietnam to achieve growth of +1.0-2.0% yoy.2026年7月13日
Derivatives 2026/07/10: Accumulation
Positive signals have emerged, as capital flow continues to provide support at lower price levels; however, these signals lack consistency. Traders should therefore remain cautious and wait for further confirmation before opening new positions.2026年7月10日
Market commentary 2026/07/10: Lost the MA20
The market retreated while liquidity remained subdued, indicating that capital inflows have yet to show meaningful improvement. In addition, the VNIndex closed below its 20-day moving average (MA20), suggesting that short-term momentum is weakening and the market may need more time to regain balance.2026年7月10日
27W26: SBV maintains net injection while diverging interbank rates
In 27W26, the SBV continued its net liquidity injection to ease surging pressures in the overnight segment, driven by short-term swap maturities during the week. Concurrently, interbank rates diverged as a spike in immediate cash demand pushed overnight rates sharply higher. In the FX market, the interbank USDVND rate remained virtually unchanged, staying resilient against persistent foreign net selling as a softer global greenback helped alleviate broader depreciation pressures.2026年7月9日
Market commentary 2026/07/09: Continued gains
The market posted its second consecutive gaining session, accompanied by a modest improvement in liquidity. The index continued to hold above its 20-day moving average (MA20), indicating that this level remains an effective short-term support. However, the VNIndex has yet to close above both the 10-day (MA10) and 50-day (MA50) moving averages, suggesting that buying momentum is still not strong enough to confirm a meaningful improvement in the short-term trend.2026年7月9日
Derivatives 2026/07/09: Has Capital Flow Returned?
Positive signals have emerged, as capital flow continues to provide support at lower price levels; however, these signals lack consistency. Traders should therefore remain cautious and wait for further confirmation before opening new positions.2026年7月9日
ETF review: MCH and TCX added to the VN30Index
In the 3Q26 review of the VN30Index, we expect PLX and TPB to be removed from the index's constituent list, as their market capitalization no longer ranks among the 30 eligible stocks. In their place, MCH and TCX will be added.2026年7月9日
Market commentary 2026/07/08: Market recovery
The market rebounded in the latest session, although liquidity declined noticeably, suggesting that cash flow has yet to fully support the current upward momentum. This indicates that the ongoing recovery still requires further confirmation in the coming sessions.2026年7月8日
Derivatives 2026/07/08: Capital support at lower price levels
Positive signals have emerged as capital continued to provide support at lower price levels; however, these signals remain inconsistent. Traders should therefore stay cautious and wait for further confirmation before opening new positions.2026年7月8日
Market commentary 2026/07/07: Market reversal
The market posted a sharp decline accompanied by higher trading liquidity. In addition, the VNIndex fell below both the 10-day and 50-day moving averages, signaling a deterioration in short-term technical momentum. This suggests that market volatility and downside pressure may persist in the coming sessions.2026年7月7日